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2024-12-13 10:54:22

The yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds rose to 4.316% after the auction results were announced, the highest level since November 26th.The Brazilian central bank raised its benchmark interest rate to 12.25% for the third time this year. On the 11th, local time, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Brazilian central bank announced that it had decided to raise its benchmark interest rate to 12.25%, which is the third time that the Brazilian central bank raised interest rates this year. Brazil's central bank said that the interest rate hike was affected by international uncertainties and Brazil's domestic economic policies, and it is expected that the benchmark interest rate will be raised again in January and March next year. Since August last year, the Brazilian central bank cut interest rates seven times in a row, stopped cutting interest rates in June this year, and then raised the benchmark interest rate three times in a row. After this adjustment, Brazil's benchmark interest rate at the end of 2024 was the same as that at the end of 2023, which was 12.25%. The latest "Focus" bulletin of the Brazilian central bank raised the expected inflation rate to 4.84% in 2024, which is higher than the upper limit of the country's inflation rate management target of 4.5% from 2024 to 2026.French Ambassador to Ukraine: The first batch of Mirage 2000-5 fighters will be provided to Ukraine early next year. On December 12, local time, French Ambassador to Ukraine Visier said that in early 2025, France will provide Ukraine with the first batch of Mirage 2000-5 fighters as planned, and Ukrainian pilots and technicians are currently receiving training. He did not disclose the number of fighters to be delivered. Earlier, according to a report by Ukrainian Pravda on October 8, French Defense Minister Sebastian Lecornu said that France planned to deliver Mirage fighters to Ukraine early next year.


ECB source: A few policy makers initially agreed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.The allocation percentage of the winning interest rate in the four-week national debt auction in the United States from December 12 was 57.75%, and the previous value was 77.28%. The four-week national debt auction in the United States until December 12-the winning interest rate is 4.24%, and the previous value is 4.4%. 4-week national debt auction in the United States from December 12-bid multiple is 3.14, and the previous value is 2.74.On Thursday (December 12th), the overnight reverse repurchase agreements (RRP) of the Federal Reserve was 165.025 billion US dollars, compared with 180.120 billion US dollars in the last trading daily.


Ambassador of China to the United States: "Going to China" is the real risk of global supply chain. Xie Feng, China's ambassador to the United States, said on the 11th that "going to China" is the real risk of global supply chain. Speaking at the annual dinner of u.s.-china business council held in Washington that night, Xie Feng said that in the face of protectionism, China's determination to comprehensively deepen reform and expand high-level opening-up has always been the same, its goal of promoting stable and far-reaching Sino-US relations has always been the same, and its desire to welcome enterprises from all countries, including American enterprises, to share development opportunities has always been the same. Xie Feng said that since the Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, a series of heavy reform measures have come into effect, and access to the manufacturing sector has been fully liberalized. For the first time, negative list management has been established for cross-border service trade nationwide, and wholly foreign-owned hospitals have been allowed to be set up in nine places including Beijing. Eleven foreign-controlled or wholly foreign-owned brokers, including JPMorgan Chase, have successively settled in China, and telecommunications, internet, education, culture and medical care have been opened in an orderly manner, releasing huge market dividends. Xie Feng said that the weaponization of tariffs closes the market and loses opportunities. The "small courtyard and high wall" can't stop the spring breeze of innovation, but will draw the land as a prison. "Going to China" under the guise of "removing risks" is the real risk of the global supply chain, and treating "national security" as a "panacea" to discredit and suppress is itself creating insecurity. Only when Sino-US cooperation is done well will the two countries and the world be more prosperous and safer. U.s.-china business council, founded in 1973, is a non-governmental trade organization with China established by the United States before the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States. It has long been committed to promoting the development of Sino-US relations and economic and trade cooperation. At present, the Committee has 270 American member enterprises doing business in China.CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.Intel executives: Over time, we may sell some of our positions in Mobileye.

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